TruckingPlaybook
Module 11

Don't confuse possibility with proof.

Two columns: what we actually know, and what we still need to verify. Nothing in the right column is a fact — and treating it as one is the single fastest way to make a bad financing decision.

What we know
  • Rocky reportedly operates two trucks.
  • He reports government-related dry-goods hauling work.
  • 1301 has an established Bank of America banking relationship and significant historical deposit activity.
  • 1301 has an existing commercial Silverado loan.
  • WMac has spoken to a trucking-financing consultant who believes multi-truck financing may be achievable.
What we still need to verify
  • Rocky's exact contracting relationship.
  • Contract duration and expansion rights.
  • Revenue and expenses per truck.
  • Whether trailers are provided.
  • Equipment specifications.
  • Lender approval and actual loan terms.
  • Permission to lease financed trucks to Rocky.
  • JV compensation and ownership arrangements.
  • Operating insurance requirements.
  • Whether the projected business can sustain downtime and unexpected costs.

Label discipline

Nothing in the right-hand column is labeled a fact. A reported figure is not a verified figure; a possible arrangement is not a signed one. Every item above moves from "possible" to "verified" only with evidence — and the financing decision waits for that.

None of the unverified items above is a fact. Don't treat possibility as proof.
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What We Must Not Assume